Sacramento Real Estate: 2023 Mid-Year Market Predictions

“What’s going on in Sacramento real estate?”

That  is a question we get asked daily! Now that summer vacations are coming to a close and we’re all settling into our back-to-school routines, many are beginning to look at the market again and reevaluate their plans.


This year has been interesting, to say the least, and the shifts from the fast-paced pandemic to current day have left homeowners with more confusion than clarity.


We know the BIG question on everyone's mind is, “What should we expect moving forward with the housing market?”


So, let’s unpack that…


The Sherri Patterson Team belongs to the largest real estate coaching company in the world! Industry expert, Brian Buffini, studies the real estate market and is usually right-on with future predictions.

We recently attended a webinar: Brian Buffini's Bold Predictions 2023: Mid-Year Update, where he interviewed David Stevens who is the former CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association. The conversation was focused on interest rates, inflation and where the market will be heading in 2024 and beyond. 


(Watch the replay for more information.)


1. Nationwide Equity is High

For those of you waiting for the market to crash before embarking on your real estate journey, you might be on the sidelines for a while. U.S. home equity rates are still lingering at record-highs, and there is no foreclosure crisis in sight. Eighty percent of current mortgages have a rate of 5% or lower (FHFA), so homeowners are determined to keep their homes and maintain their rate.

2. Sacramento Rent Prices are Rising

With so many of us focused on the housing market, it’s common to turn a blind eye to the renting world. Even as home prices increase, the price of renting is not far behind. There are nearly 3 million households that are making over $150,000 a year that are still renting. (The Wallstreet Journal) Renting a home or apartment in a desirable area can be almost as expensive as a monthly mortgage. So, don’t send your money down the drain paying a landlord’s rent—invest in your own property instead! 

Pro Tip: We suggest buying your dream Sacramento home when the time is right—renting your rate—and refinancing once the rates come down. To learn more about this method and if it’s right for you, contact our team to talk with an agent.

3. Mortgage Rates Are Predicted to Drop to the 5.5% Range!

The topic everyone is waiting for—when will the mortgage rates drop? Experts predict the mortgage rates to gently ease through the rest of the year, rolling into 2024.


“Be prepared to jump on a dip in rates.” – Robert Frick | Corporate Economist, Navy Federal Credit Union


“With the rate of inflation decelerating, rates should gently decline over the course of 2023.” – Sak Khater | Freddie Mac Chief Economist


“Mortgage rates will drop—with the 30-year fixed mortgage rate progressively falling to 6.0% this year and to 5.6% in 2024.” – Lawrence Yun | National Association of Realtors® Chief Economist


“Our forecast is for a 30-year mortgage rate to be closer to about 5.5% by the end of this year and drop a little lower next year.” – Michael Fratantoni | Chief Economist & Senior Vice President of Research, Mortgage Bankers Association

 

However, the current market is at a standstill due to a continued shortage of inventory. Current homeowners are hesitant to enter the market due to today’s increased rates, but this is predicted to change once the rates lower to a more digestible percentage. Experts are predicting the market to kick back into gear once the rate hits the mid 5 percents.


At the end of the day, the housing market is always dependent on supply and demand. Sacramento’s inventory is slowly making a comeback, but there is still a desire to move to our community that will continue to boost buyer demand. If you have questions about the market or would like to discuss the future of your real estate goals, The Sherri Patterson Team is always here to assist you with your housing needs. Whether you’re hoping to beat the buyer wave or need some guidance on pricing your home, we are here to help!

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